Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.019569 0.021395 0.023233 0.025218 0.027297 0.029407 0.031707
2025-07-27 0.015927 0.018760 0.021727 0.025048 0.028644 0.032405 0.036617
2025-08-03 0.014165 0.017602 0.021304 0.025549 0.030245 0.035245 0.040941
2025-08-10 0.012458 0.016276 0.020496 0.025438 0.031005 0.037026 0.043976
2025-08-17 0.010999 0.015080 0.019700 0.025216 0.031530 0.038451 0.046531
2025-08-24 0.009883 0.014178 0.019151 0.025192 0.032206 0.039981 0.049146
2025-08-31 0.008832 0.013268 0.018518 0.025004 0.032637 0.041188 0.051357
2025-09-07 0.007970 0.012521 0.018024 0.024930 0.033156 0.042459 0.053610
2025-09-14 0.007046 0.011629 0.017297 0.024529 0.033249 0.043208 0.055238
2025-09-21 0.006235 0.010822 0.016629 0.024155 0.033340 0.043925 0.056802
2025-09-28 0.005326 0.009816 0.015653 0.023356 0.032881 0.043967 0.057559
2025-10-05 0.004978 0.009558 0.015619 0.023712 0.033804 0.045623 0.060182
2025-10-12 0.004432 0.009007 0.015212 0.023628 0.034241 0.046767 0.062295
2025-10-19 0.003889 0.008425 0.014744 0.023458 0.034573 0.047801 0.064302
2025-10-26 0.003624 0.008237 0.014793 0.023942 0.035706 0.049786 0.067427
2025-11-02 0.003196 0.007756 0.014408 0.023835 0.036082 0.050847 0.069445
2025-11-09 0.002780 0.007251 0.013960 0.023620 0.036304 0.051707 0.071213
2025-11-16 0.002459 0.006872 0.013668 0.023597 0.036756 0.052837 0.073298
2025-11-23 0.002130 0.006440 0.013275 0.023417 0.036991 0.053690 0.075041
2025-11-30 0.001860 0.006084 0.012973 0.023346 0.037355 0.054693 0.076959
2025-12-07 0.001550 0.005608 0.012460 0.022959 0.037291 0.055153 0.078208
2025-12-14 0.001281 0.005171 0.011981 0.022599 0.037246 0.055626 0.079463
2025-12-21 0.000976 0.004592 0.011236 0.021830 0.036635 0.055368 0.079810